Final Oliver Hartwich

Dr Oliver Hartwich

Executive Director

Oliver is the Executive Director of The New Zealand Initiative. Before joining the Initiative, he was a Research Fellow at the Centre for Independent Studies in Sydney, the Chief Economist at the Policy Exchange in London, and an advisor in the UK House of Lords.

Oliver holds a master's degree in economics and business administration and a PhD in Law from Bochum University in Germany.

Oliver is available to comment on all of the Initiative’s research areas.

Phone: +64 4 499 0790

Email: oliver.hartwich@nzinitiative.org.nz

Recent Work

wallace chapman portrait SQ

RNZ: Dr Oliver Hartwich on the case for a lower youth wage

Dr Oliver Hartwich talked to Wallace Chapman on RNZ's The Panel about the New Zealand Initiative's election recommendation to introduce a lower youth wage, which he argued would tackle high youth unemployment by giving 16 and 17 year olds a path into work and structured training. Dr Hartwich pointed to Central European countries such as Germany and Switzerland, where lower wages are paired with three or four year training programmes leading to a certified qualification, while panellists were divided on whether the idea risked exploiting young workers. Read more

Dr Oliver Hartwich
Wallace Chapman, Simon Pound and Anna Fifield
RNZ
12 June, 2026

On borrowed calm

Across the Tasman, anger has propelled Pauline Hanson’s One Nation from a fringe outfit to the most popular party, on 31 percent in a recent poll, ahead of both Labor and the Coalition. Yet Australia’s preferential voting, which redistributes losing candidates’ votes, could still return a Labor government. Read more

Dr Oliver Hartwich
Insights Newsletter
12 June, 2026

NZ’s nuclear superstition makes no sense

At last month’s Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, New Zealand’s Defence Minister Chris Penk told Bloomberg Television that the country might usefully consider nuclear propulsion, the reactors that drive warships, as something distinct from nuclear weapons. Within two days, his Prime Minister had killed the idea on talkback radio. Read more

Dr Oliver Hartwich
The Australian
9 June, 2026

A prescription that fits

This week’s Budget confirmed what most New Zealanders already suspected. The government’s finances are tight, the deficit persists, and there is no pot of money waiting to be spent on the country’s problems. Just as well, because government spending never delivers growth or prosperity. Read more

Dr Oliver Hartwich
Insights Newsletter
29 May, 2026

Podcast: Budget 2026: The fingers crossed budget

In this episode, Oliver talks with Eric about Budget 2026, which brings the forecast surplus forward a year but rests on a series of lucky breaks, from oil prices falling to fiscal discipline surviving the election and coalition negotiations. They weigh what is driving spending well above 2019 levels, the case for superannuation reform, council incentives to go for growth, the shrinking public service, and why Treasury's tobacco and alcohol excise forecasts keep going wrong. Read more

Dr Oliver Hartwich
Dr Eric Crampton
Podcast
29 May, 2026

Media release: Think tank sets out 235-point policy agenda for a more prosperous New Zealand

Wellington (Wednesday, 27 May 2026) – New Zealand can be a much more prosperous country, and the policy choices needed to get us there are well within reach, says The New Zealand Initiative’s Executive Director, Dr Oliver Hartwich. The Initiative today released Prescription for Prosperity 2026, its fourth briefing to an incoming government. Read more

Dr Oliver Hartwich
Media release
27 May, 2026
Prescription Cover Clean with outline

Prescription for Prosperity 2026: Briefing to the Incoming Government

This is The New Zealand Initiative’s 2026 Prescription for Prosperity. Since 2017, the Initiative has prepared a briefing for the incoming government. Read more

Dr Oliver Hartwich
Dr Eric Crampton
Dr Michael Johnston
Roger Partridge
Dr Bryce Wilkinson ONZM
Research Report
27 May, 2026

Audiences without a Public

By 1974, at the Allensbach Institute she had founded a quarter-century earlier, Elisabeth Noelle-Neumann had given a name to a puzzle first visible in her election research of the 1960s. West Germans would tell her pollsters one thing in private; in public they would say something else, or nothing at all. Read more

Dr Oliver Hartwich
Quadrant
25 May, 2026

Podcast: Splendid isolation meets geopolitical reality

In this episode, Oliver talks with senior fellow John Howard about mounting geopolitical instability, from Iran and the Strait of Hormuz to Trump's visit to Beijing and the growing pressure on Taiwan. They discuss what these crises mean for New Zealand's energy security, political leadership, European security, business risk, and the need for more serious strategic thinking. Read more

Dr Oliver Hartwich
Major General John G. Howard, MNZM (Ret)
Podcast
19 May, 2026

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