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Dr Bryce Wilkinson ONZM

Senior Fellow

Bryce is a Senior Fellow at The New Zealand Initiative and the Director of the Wellington-based economic consultancy firm Capital Economics.

Prior to setting up his consultancy in 1997, he was director, and shareholder in First NZ Capital. Before moving into investment banking in 1985, he worked in the New Zealand Treasury, reaching the position of Director.

Bryce holds a PhD in Economics from the University of Canterbury and was a Harkness Fellow at Harvard University. He is a Fellow of the Law and Economics Association of New Zealand.

Phone: +64 4 499 0790

Email: bryce.wilkinson@nzinitiative.org.nz

Recent Work

Media release: Better value from government is key to higher incomes and lower debt, report says

Wellington (Tuesday, 3 November 2026) - New Zealand heads into the election with two big problems barely mentioned on the campaign trail: rising government debt and stalling productivity. A new report from The New Zealand Initiative, NZ Unbound: Freeing up growth and fixing the books, says the answer starts with getting value for money. Read more

Dr Bryce Wilkinson ONZM
Media release
3 November, 2026

Newstalk ZB: Bryce Wilkinson on the parties’ fiscal plans

Our Senior Fellow Dr Bryce Wilkinson, a former Treasury director, joined Mike Hosking on Newstalk ZB to make sense of the fiscal plans dominating the election campaign. He read National’s numbers as a continuation of its effort since 2024 to return to surplus: holding the line on spending despite rising interest costs and an ageing population, and relying on economic growth to lift revenues and close the gap. Read more

Dr Bryce Wilkinson ONZM
Newstalk ZB
13 October, 2026

Why is the New Zealand dollar falling, and what could it mean for prices?

Might the plunge in the value of the New Zealand dollar in the last five weeks make you poorer? The reason for asking is that, on 29 September, a New Zealand dollar bought 5.1% fewer US dollars than on 24 August, 3.1% fewer Australian dollars and 4.6% fewer units of the Reserve Bank’s basket of currencies. Read more

Dr Bryce Wilkinson ONZM
NZ Herald
1 October, 2026
Prescription Cover Clean with outline

Prescription for Prosperity 2026: Briefing to the Incoming Government

This is The New Zealand Initiative’s 2026 Prescription for Prosperity. Since 2017, the Initiative has prepared a briefing for the incoming government. Read more

Dr Oliver Hartwich
Dr Eric Crampton
Dr Benno Blaschke
Dr Michael Johnston
Roger Partridge
Dr Bryce Wilkinson ONZM
Research Report
27 May, 2026

Newstalk ZB: Heather du Plessis-Allan on Dr Bryce Wilkinson's fuel crisis analysis

Heather du Plessis-Allan discussed Dr Bryce Wilkinson's NZ Herald article on Newstalk ZB, drawing on his analysis of the 1970s oil shocks as a cautionary lesson for today's politicians. Dr Wilkinson argues that the government should resist pressure to intervene through price controls, subsidies, or fuel tax cuts, and instead rely on price signals and targeted income relief for the most vulnerable, while leaving risky energy investments to private capital. Read more

Dr Bryce Wilkinson ONZM
Heather du Plessis-Allan
Newstalk ZB
26 March, 2026

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